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尹继武.中国南海安全战略思维:内涵、演变与建构[J].国际安全研究,2017,(4):33-61
中国南海安全战略思维:内涵、演变与建构
China’s Strategic Thinking toward South China Sea: Concept, Evolution and Construction
投稿时间:2017-03-02 修订日期:2017-04-17
DOI:
中文关键词: 战略思维;单边默契;搁置;大局;共识;南海争端
英文关键词: strategic thinking, unilateral consensus, shelving, overall situation, consensus, the South China Sea dispute
基金项目:
作者单位
尹继武 北京外国语大学国际关系,北京 ,100089
摘要点击次数: 1028
全文下载次数: 976
中文摘要:
学术界关于南海争端与中国国家安全的研究,大多基于对象国政策、南海地区权力格局以及中国政策的动态分析,缺乏对于中国南海战略思维和政策的系统梳理。中国南海战略思维包括搁置、大局和寻求共识等多维度的内容,同时对于争端本质倾向于和平的看法。它经历了从基于战略理性的单边默契到文化认同的单边默契的演进,体现了螺旋式变化的特点。中国南海战略思维的固化受到特定政策效果的正反馈、道德正义性以及政治文化习惯等因素的影响,而在力量与实力对比发生变化,外生环境的震动与刺激和领导集体的战略决心增强的情况下,它会发生积极的调整与变化。剖析中国南海战略思维的内涵、特性及其演变,能为理解中国外交的微观基础以及处理好中国的相关争端提供理论启示和实践价值。
英文摘要:
In the academic circle, studies on the South China Sea dispute and China’s national security focus more on the policies of target countries, the power structure in the South China Sea and specifically China’s relevant policies than on the systematic reviewing of China’s strategic thinking on the South China Sea issues. China’s strategic thinking toward the South China Sea is multi-dimensional one. It mainly focuses on setting aside the disputes, taking the big picture into consideration and seeking consensus among relevant countries, which emphasizes a positive attitude of China toward a peaceful resolution of the dispute. It has undergone the evolution featuring spiral changes from a unilateral consensus based on strategic rationality to a unilateral consensus based on culture identity. The solidification of China’s strategic thinking toward the South China Sea is subject to positive feedbacks of specific policies, moral justness and political culture habits and it will be actively adjusted in accordance with the changing situation in the power structure, the external environment and the boosted strategic resolve of the leadership. This paper has theoretical implications and policy values for understanding the psychological foundation of China’s diplomacy and a desirable resolution of China’s territorial disputes.
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